In the other toss-ups where 538 and RCP computed an average ... That might explain why a suspicious number of Pennsylvania polls showed Trump and Harris exactly tied. And, while the polls didn ...

That’s Harris’ lead in FiveThirtyEight’s national ... In One Of Her Most Important State (Forbes) Pennsylvania 2024 Trump-Harris Polls: Harris Has Less Than 1-Point Lead In Polling Averages ...

with FiveThirtyEight's poll tracker currently showing that Harris leads Michigan and Wisconsin by less than a point, while ...

Pennsylvania, with its 20 Electoral College ... To ensure accuracy, 538 only includes polls from organizations that meet strict criteria, such as being transparent about their sample size ...